Ukraine launches surprise offensive on Russian territory, bloggers say

March 28, 2025 journo

Just as Ukrainian forces are losing their grip on the pocket of Russia’s Kursk region they captured last year, they have staged a so-far little-publicised incursion into the adjacent Belgorod region, according to Russian military bloggers.

Several Russian military correspondents said on Friday that Ukrainian troops were inside Belgorod and fighting battles with Russian forces there.

Neither Kyiv nor Moscow has confirmed the reports, though Russia’s defence ministry said 10 days ago that its forces had thwarted five Ukrainian attempts to push across the border in Belgorod.

Ukraine’s military has not commented on any thrust into Belgorod region by Kyiv’s forces, though that could be for operational security reasons.

Videos of troops in the Belgorod region have appeared online, and several have been geolocated by multiple sources.

Andrii Kovalenko, an official at Ukraine’s National Defence and Security Council, suggested in a statement on March 18 that Ukrainian forces could act in the Belgorod region, “neutralising threats” from Russian forces that might mass near the border.

Rybar, a Russian military blog with 1.3 million subscribers, said there had been heavy clashes in a settlement called Popovka and each side was hitting the other with drones. Another Telegram account, Two Majors, said Russian forces were conducting “defensive operations”.

“There are constant strikes on concentrations of Ukrainian Armed Forces, but the enemy still has serious offensive potential for this direction and has not abandoned plans for further breakthroughs, including in new areas of the front,” it said.

A third military blog, Arkhangel Spetsnaza, reported fighting in a village called Demidovka and said some Ukrainian soldiers were surrounded there.

Reuters could not independently confirm the accounts.

The Ukrainian operation may be an attempt to distract Russian forces as they try to drive out the last Ukrainian forces from next-door Kursk. One of the Russian blogs, Rybar, said Russia had moved reinforcements to Belgorod from Goptarovka in the Kursk region.

Emil Kastehelmi, a military analyst with the Finnish-based Black Bird Group, said Ukrainian forces had penetrated the first Russian defences and advanced most likely to a depth of 3-4 km (1.9 to 2.5 miles).

But he said it was unlikely that they could stage a serious breakthrough and threaten any important Russians logistical routes or cities.

“The Ukrainians can, in theory, take some more villages from the border area, but that’s not what a breakthrough means — it’d be a small tactical success, but there’s very little to be achieved in the Demidovka direction at operational or strategic level,” he told Reuters.

“There’s no proper element of surprise, and the Russian presence in the area is strong enough to at least conduct mostly successful defensive operations.”

In Kursk, the Russian Defence Ministry said on Friday its forces had recaptured the village of Gogolevka, one of only a handful of settlements still held by Ukraine out of around 100 that it seized last August.

Ukraine’s General Staff said its military had stopped 18 Russian assaults in Kursk region over the past day.

Open source mapping from Deep State, an authoritative Ukrainian military blogging resource, showed Russian forces in control of some but not all of Gogolevka, and indicated Kyiv’s troops still controlled just under 80 sq km (31 sq miles) of Kursk.

President Vladimir Putin visited Kursk this month in a sign of increasing confidence that Russia will shortly win it back, depriving Ukraine of a bargaining chip in future peace talks.

Earlier this week, a Russian state TV journalist was killed and her camera operator was seriously injured by a landmine in the Belgorod region.

War correspondent Anna Prokofieva and cameraman Dmitry Volkov ran over a landmine planted by the Ukrainian military, the Pervy Kanal TV channel confirmed.

Meanwhile, on Friday, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said Ukraine had a legitimate government that must be respected after Russian President Vladimir Putin suggested Ukraine could be placed under a form of temporary administration to allow for new elections.

Mr Putin claimed such a move would help with ceasefire negotiations, which have been taking place separately between Russia and the US, and Ukraine and the US.

Reuters